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Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW w Warszawie - Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego, 2020 |
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Parlinska A., Toktaş Y. The Impact of the Real Effective Exchange Rate on Poland’s Food and Live Animal Exports
Autor | Agnieszka Parlinska, Yılmaz Toktaş |
Tytuł | The Impact of the Real Effective Exchange Rate on Poland’s Food and Live Animal Exports |
Title | The Impact of the Real Effective Exchange Rate on Poland’s Food and Live Animal Exports |
Słowa kluczowe | exchange rate, ARDL bounds test analysis, time series analysis, food and live animal exports, cointegration |
Key words | exchange rate, ARDL bounds test analysis, time series analysis, food and live animal exports, cointegration |
Abstrakt | In this study, for the 2012M1-2020M1 period, the relationship between Poland’s real effective exchange rate and its food and animal exports were examined by the bounds test. The stationary analyses of variables were examined by the ADF and PP tests. According to the results of a cointegration test, a cointegration relation among the real effective exchange rate, food and live animal exports, as well as industrial production was determined. It was also concluded that the real effective exchange rate has a long-term negative impact on Poland's food and live animal exports. This research also established that a 1% increase in the real effective exchange rate in the long-term would decrease Poland's food and animal exports by 3.091%. Also, industrial production has a positive impact on Poland’s food and animal exports, as expected. It was determined that a 1% increase in industrial production would increase Poland’s food and animal exports by 2.803%. On the other hand, the error correction term coefficient was found to be -0.119, indicating that 11% of the imbalance in the short-term will be recovered in the next period. |
Abstract | In this study, for the 2012M1-2020M1 period, the relationship between Poland’s real effective exchange rate and its food and animal exports were examined by the bounds test. The stationary analyses of variables were examined by the ADF and PP tests. According to the results of a cointegration test, a cointegration relation among the real effective exchange rate, food and live animal exports, as well as industrial production was determined. It was also concluded that the real effective exchange rate has a long-term negative impact on Poland's food and live animal exports. This research also established that a 1% increase in the real effective exchange rate in the long-term would decrease Poland's food and animal exports by 3.091%. Also, industrial production has a positive impact on Poland’s food and animal exports, as expected. It was determined that a 1% increase in industrial production would increase Poland’s food and animal exports by 2.803%. On the other hand, the error correction term coefficient was found to be -0.119, indicating that 11% of the imbalance in the short-term will be recovered in the next period. |
Cytowanie | Parlinska A., Toktaş Y. (2020) The Impact of the Real Effective Exchange Rate on Poland’s Food and Live Animal Exports.Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW w Warszawie - Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego, t. 20(35), z. 4: 47-57 |
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Pełny tekst | PRS_2020_T20(35)_n4_s47.pdf |
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2. |
Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW w Warszawie - Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego, 2019 |
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Mikuła A., Stańko S. Zmiany na rynku mięsa wieprzowego w Polsce w latach 2001 2017
Autor | Aneta Mikuła, Stanisław Stańko |
Tytuł | Zmiany na rynku mięsa wieprzowego w Polsce w latach 2001 2017 |
Title | Changes on the Pork Meat Market in Poland in the years 2001 2017 |
Słowa kluczowe | pogłowie trzody, produkcja wieprzowiny, eksport, import, ceny |
Key words | pig population, pork production, exports, imports, price |
Abstrakt | Przedstawiono zmiany w podaży wieprzowiny w Polsce w latach 2001-2017. Pogłowie trzody chlewnej charakteryzowało się tendencją spadkową we wszystkich grupach zwierząt. W latach 2001-2007 import żywca wzrastał rocznie o 71 tys. szt., a w latach 2008-2017 o 603,5 tys. szt. Rosnąca skala importu żywca powodowała spowolnienie spadku produkcji mięsa. Eksport żywca charakteryzował się dużą zmiennością i był niewielki. Import mięsa charakteryzował się rosnącą skalą i tempem (prawie 32% rocznie w latach 2001-2008 i 3,1% w latach 2009-2017). Eksport mięsa rósł, a dynamika wzrostu od 2009 r. przewyższała skalę wzrostu importu, co zmniejszyło ujemne saldo handlu mięsem. Eksport przetworów z wieprzowiny charakteryzował się szybką tendencją wzrostową, a import niewielką. Ceny wieprzowiny w Polsce "podążały" za średnimi cenami w krajach UE. W średnim okresie tempo wzrostu cen w UE i w Polsce będzie niewielkie (0,8% rocznie), a Polska pozostanie nadal znacznym importerem żywych świń. |
Abstract | Changes in pork supply in Poland in the years 2001-2017 were presented. The pig population was characterized by a downward trend in all groups of animals. In the years 2001-2007, livestock imports grew annually by 71 thousand pcs, and in the years 2008-2017 by 603.5 thousand pcs. The increasing scale of livestock import slowed the decline in meat production. Livestock export was characterized by high variability and was small. Meat imports were characterized by a growing scale and pace (almost 32% per annum in 2001-2008 and 3.1% in 2009-2017). Meat exports grew, and the growth rate since 2009 exceeded the scale of import growth, which improved the negative balance of meat trade. Exports of pork products were characterized by a rapid upward trend, and small imports. Pork prices in Poland "followed" average prices in EU countries. In the medium term, the growth rate of prices in the EU and in Poland will be small (0.8% per year). In the medium term Poland will remain a significant livestock importer. |
Cytowanie | Mikuła A., Stańko S. (2019) Zmiany na rynku mięsa wieprzowego w Polsce w latach 2001 2017.Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW w Warszawie - Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego, t. 19(34), z. 2: 174-185 |
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Pełny tekst | PRS_2019_T19(34)_n2_s174.pdf |
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3. |
Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW w Warszawie - Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego, 2019 |
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Gurkowa K., Kowalska A. Changes in Potato Production and Consumption in Poland in 2001-2019
Autor | Klaudia Gurkowa, Anna Kowalska |
Tytuł | Changes in Potato Production and Consumption in Poland in 2001-2019 |
Title | Changes in Potato Production and Consumption in Poland in 2001-2020 |
Słowa kluczowe | potato, production, consumption, evolution |
Key words | potato, production, consumption, evolution |
Abstrakt | The aim of the article is to analyse and assess changes in the potato market in Poland. The area of potato cultivation in Poland is gradually decreasing. The scale of this phenomenon is very large - unparalleled in any other country. Unprocessed, fresh potato are replaced more and more often with ready-made preserves and cereal products, e.g. groats, rice and pasta. The study uses statistical materials published by The Institute of Agricultural and Food Economics - National Research Institute and the Central Statistical Office. The time range of these data covers the years 2001-2019. During the development of the data, the basic methods of statistical analysis were used, i.e. correlation, change dynamics, arithmetic mean and standard deviation. |
Abstract | The aim of the article is to analyse and assess changes in the potato market in Poland. The area of potato cultivation in Poland is gradually decreasing. The scale of this phenomenon is very large - unparalleled in any other country. Unprocessed, fresh potato are replaced more and more often with ready-made preserves and cereal products, e.g. groats, rice and pasta. The study uses statistical materials published by The Institute of Agricultural and Food Economics - National Research Institute and the Central Statistical Office. The time range of these data covers the years 2001-2019. During the development of the data, the basic methods of statistical analysis were used, i.e. correlation, change dynamics, arithmetic mean and standard deviation. |
Cytowanie | Gurkowa K., Kowalska A. (2019) Changes in Potato Production and Consumption in Poland in 2001-2019.Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW w Warszawie - Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego, t. 19(34), z. 3: 46-56 |
HTML | wersja html |
Pełny tekst | PRS_2019_T19(34)_n3_s46.pdf |
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Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW w Warszawie - Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego, 2019 |
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Ceylan N. Revealed Comparative Advantage of Turkish and Hungarian Wheat Sectors
Autor | Nazli Ceylan |
Tytuł | Revealed Comparative Advantage of Turkish and Hungarian Wheat Sectors |
Title | Revealed Comparative Advantage of Turkish and Hungarian Wheat Sectors |
Słowa kluczowe | wheat sector, revealed comparative advantage, Hungary, Turkey |
Key words | wheat sector, revealed comparative advantage, Hungary, Turkey |
Abstrakt | Hungary and Turkey have a considerable share in world wheat markets. In 2018, Hungary’s export value of wheat and wheat flour reached to 411 million euros and it formed 32 per cent of overall cereal & milling industry export value of the country. Export value of Turkey for the same commodities was 875 million euros in the same period and it formed 77 per cent of total cereal & milling industry export value (International Trade Centre, 2019). Considering their potential and recent upward trends in trade, this study aims to determine the competitiveness of the wheat sectors in Hungary and Turkey. The study examines the competitiveness level of both countries by using Balassa’s Revealed Comparative Advantage index and Michaely index. The examination range covers the 10-year period between 2009 and 2018. Majority of data in this work was obtained and derived from International Trade Centre database. According to analysis results, Hungary has a higher degree of specialization vis-a-vis Turkey. |
Abstract | Hungary and Turkey have a considerable share in world wheat markets. In 2018, Hungary’s export value of wheat and wheat flour reached to 411 million euros and it formed 32 per cent of overall cereal & milling industry export value of the country. Export value of Turkey for the same commodities was 875 million euros in the same period and it formed 77 per cent of total cereal & milling industry export value (International Trade Centre, 2019). Considering their potential and recent upward trends in trade, this study aims to determine the competitiveness of the wheat sectors in Hungary and Turkey. The study examines the competitiveness level of both countries by using Balassa’s Revealed Comparative Advantage index and Michaely index. The examination range covers the 10-year period between 2009 and 2018. Majority of data in this work was obtained and derived from International Trade Centre database. According to analysis results, Hungary has a higher degree of specialization vis-a-vis Turkey. |
Cytowanie | Ceylan N. (2019) Revealed Comparative Advantage of Turkish and Hungarian Wheat Sectors.Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW w Warszawie - Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego, t. 19(34), z. 3: 16-22 |
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Pełny tekst | PRS_2019_T19(34)_n3_s16.pdf |
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Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW w Warszawie - Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego, 2018 |
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Mikuła A., Stańko S. Tendencje na rynku masła i serów na świecie i w Polsce w latach 2001-2017
Autor | Aneta Mikuła, Stanisław Stańko |
Tytuł | Tendencje na rynku masła i serów na świecie i w Polsce w latach 2001-2017 |
Title | Tendencies in the Global Butter and Cheese Markets and in Poland in the years 2001-2017 |
Słowa kluczowe | masło, ser, produkcja, zużycie krajowe, nadwyżki rynkowe |
Key words | butter, cheese, production, domestic consumption, market surpluses |
Abstrakt | Przedstawiono zmiany w produkcji oraz tendencje w niedoborach/nadwyżkach rynkowych masła i sera na świecie w latach 2001-2017 u największych producentów oraz w Polsce. Nadwyżki rynkowe masła zwiększały się w: Nowej Zelandii, UE i Białorusi, a zmniejszały w Australii i na Ukrainie. Niedobory rosły w Chinach, Meksyku, Iranie i Turcji, a zmniejszały się w Rosji i Kanadzie. Względnie zrównoważona produkcja i spożycie występowały w Indiach, Pakistanie, USA i Brazylii. Na rynku sera nadwyżki rosły w: UE, USA, Nowej Zelandii, Argentynie i Białorusi, a zmniejszały się w Australii i na Ukrainie. Niedobory rosły w: Rosji, Brazylii, Meksyku. W Polsce rosły nadwyżki produkcji masła i sera, co skutkowało rosnącym eksportem, kierowanym głównie do krajów UE. Ceny masła i sera w krajach UE i na rynku światowym charakteryzowały się konwergencją. Na początku badanego okresu ceny masła w UE były o 134% wyższe niż na rynku światowym, a sera o 92,6%, a w 2017 r. różnice te wynosiły odpowiednio: 6% i 0,6%. |
Abstract | Changes in production and trends in shortages / market surpluses of butter and cheese in the world and in Poland in 2001-2017 were presented. Market surplus of butter increased in New Zealand, EU and Belarus, and decreased in Australia and Ukraine. Shortages grew in China, Mexico, Iran and Turkey, and decreased in Russia and Canada. Relatively balanced production and consumption occurred in India, Pakistan, the USA and Brazil. On the cheese market, surplus grew in: EU, USA, New Zealand, Argentina and Belarus, and decreased in Australia and Ukraine. The shortages grew in: Russia, Brazil, Mexico. In Poland, there were surpluses in butter and cheese production, which resulted in growing exports, directed mainly to EU countries. Prices of butter and cheese in EU countries and on the world market were characterized by convergence. At the beginning of the analyzed period, butter prices in the EU were 134% higher than on the world market, and cheese prices were higher by 92.6%, and in 2017 these differences were respectively 6% and 0.6%. |
Cytowanie | Mikuła A., Stańko S. (2018) Tendencje na rynku masła i serów na świecie i w Polsce w latach 2001-2017.Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW w Warszawie - Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego, t. 18(33), z. 4: 437-450 |
HTML | wersja html |
Pełny tekst | PRS_2018_T18(33)_n4_s437.pdf |
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Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW w Warszawie - Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego, 2018 |
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Drzymała A. Handel żywnością między UE a Japonią
Autor | Agnieszka Drzymała |
Tytuł | Handel żywnością między UE a Japonią |
Title | Food Trade between the European Union and Japan |
Słowa kluczowe | współpraca gospodarcza, handel, żywność, Japonia, Unia Europejska |
Key words | economic cooperation, trade, food, Japan, EU |
Abstrakt | Ważnym zagadnieniem jest handel żywnością w skali świata. Jeśli chodzi o Unię Europejską to posiada ona odpowiednie zasoby wystarczające na pokrycie zapotrzebowania ludności UE na żywność, nadwyżki produkcji własnej może eksportować i wymieniać na inne produkty bądź usługi z innymi krajami. Natomiast egzotyczny dla Europejczyków azjatycki kraj, jakim jest Japonia wydaje się nie być istotnym partnerem pod względem wymiany handlowej żywnością. Celem opracowania jest zaprezentowanie dokładnej analizy wielkości eksportu i importu żywności według nomenklatury SITC oraz HS oraz perspektyw rozwoju wzajemnej współpracy między Unią Europejską a Japonią. |
Abstract | Food trade is an important element of the global economy. As far as the European Union is concerned, it has sufficient resources to cover the EU population's demand for food, and it can export and exchange its own excess production for other products or services with other countries. However, Japan does not appear to be a significant partner in terms of food imports and exports. The aim of the study is to present a detailed analysis of the volume of food exports and imports according to the SITC and HS nomenclature and the perspectives for the development of mutual cooperation between the European Union and Japan. |
Cytowanie | Drzymała A. (2018) Handel żywnością między UE a Japonią.Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW w Warszawie - Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego, t. 18(33), z. 3: 91-101 |
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Pełny tekst | PRS_2018_T18(33)_n3_s91.pdf |
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