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Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW - Ekonomika i Organizacja Gospodarki Żywnościowej, 2010 |
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Banasiak K. Zastosowanie wybranych narzędzi analizy technicznej w prognozowaniu cen kontraktów terminowych na pszenicę
Autor | Katarzyna Banasiak |
Tytuł | Zastosowanie wybranych narzędzi analizy technicznej w prognozowaniu cen kontraktów terminowych na pszenicę |
Title | The application of technical analysis tools in price predictions on the wheat futures market |
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Abstract | The aim of the paper is to show that advanced technical analysis tools which are based on the Fibonacci ratios can be used to identify the trend’s direction on the wheat futures market. The research methods are based on the identification of the support and resistance levels using the selected tools for technical analysis. The data used in study cover the period form October 2008 to October 2010. The analysis has been carried out in the technical analysis software – XTB trader. The paper discusses the selected technical analysis tools and presents their application in price forecasting on the wheat futures market. The implementation of Fibonacci retracements, Fibonacci projections and Fibonacci fan has been shown. The research has revealed that forecasts formulated using the tools of technical analysis are accurate and reliable. It amounts that the technical analysis is effective in price predictions on the wheat futures market or there is sufficiently large number of market’s participants who use technical analysis and by applying the same tools and methods they push the price in the same predicted directions. This is so called self-fulfilling prophecy. |
Cytowanie | Banasiak K. (2010) Zastosowanie wybranych narzędzi analizy technicznej w prognozowaniu cen kontraktów terminowych na pszenicę.Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW - Ekonomika i Organizacja Gospodarki Żywnościowej, nr 85: 147-159 |
HTML | wersja html |
Pełny tekst | EIOGZ_2010_n85_s147.pdf |
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![pdf](http://sj.wne.sggw.pl/img/pdf.png) |
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Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW - Ekonomika i Organizacja Gospodarki Żywnościowej, 2009 |
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Banasiak K. Modele kryzysów walutowych
Autor | Katarzyna Banasiak |
Tytuł | Modele kryzysów walutowych |
Title | Models of currency crises |
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Abstract | The article describes and characterizes the models of currency crises. The presentation of the first-generation model is based on the crisis in Latin America, the second-generation model based on the crisis of European Monetary System and the Asian crisis exemplifi es the third-generation model. The article demonstrates a non-zero-sum game which displays the role of the currency reserves. It is shown that the level of the currency reserves has an impast on both the probability of potential speculative attack and the investors’ way of thinking, as well as their investment strategies. |
Cytowanie | Banasiak K. (2009) Modele kryzysów walutowych.Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW - Ekonomika i Organizacja Gospodarki Żywnościowej, nr 80: 69-82 |
HTML | wersja html |
Pełny tekst | EIOGZ_2009_n80_s69.pdf |
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![pdf](http://sj.wne.sggw.pl/img/pdf.png) |