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Autor	Urszula Bronisz, Andrzej Jakubowski
Tytuł	Rural Demographic Problem Areas in Poland
Title	Rural Demographic Problem Areas in Poland
Słowa kluczowe	rural areas, demographic problems, Poland
Key words	rural areas, demographic problems, Poland
Abstrakt	Demographic problem areas are perceived as one of the most important types of problem areas and require special research interest. Problem areas conditioned by population factor most often refer to rural areas. Presented article aims to identify and delimit rural demographic problem areas in Poland. The study covered rural areas distinguished on the basis of the classification of the European Commission DEGURBA The analysis enabled to identify depopulation areas, areas with disrupted population reproduction (ie areas of permanent natural decline), areas of permanent outflow of population, areas with impaired population structure by age and areas with disrupted population structure by sex in the group of people of marriage age (20-34 years). To indicate clusters of communes characterised by the presence of the unfavourable demographic phenomena and processes (rural demographic problem areas) the measure of local spatial autocorrelation (Anselin Local Moran's I) was applied. The application value resulting from the research may be the improvement of the effectiveness of public intervention carried out as part of the development policy.
Abstract	Demographic problem areas are perceived as one of the most important types of problem areas and require special research interest. Problem areas conditioned by population factor most often refer to rural areas. Presented article aims to identify and delimit rural demographic problem areas in Poland. The study covered rural areas distinguished on the basis of the classification of the European Commission DEGURBA The analysis enabled to identify depopulation areas, areas with disrupted population reproduction (ie areas of permanent natural decline), areas of permanent outflow of population, areas with impaired population structure by age and areas with disrupted population structure by sex in the group of people of marriage age (20-34 years). To indicate clusters of communes characterised by the presence of the unfavourable demographic phenomena and processes (rural demographic problem areas) the measure of local spatial autocorrelation (Anselin Local Moran's I) was applied. The application value resulting from the research may be the improvement of the effectiveness of public intervention carried out as part of the development policy.
Cytowanie	Bronisz U., Jakubowski A. (2019) Rural Demographic Problem Areas in Poland.Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW w Warszawie - Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego, t. 19(34), z. 2: 41-53
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Pełny tekst	PRS_2019_T19(34)_n2_s41.pdf

Autor	Łukasz Pietrych, Ewa Wasilewska
Tytuł	Starzenie się społeczeństwa a wzrost gospodarczy w krajach Unii Europejskiej
Title	Demographical Ageing and Economic Growth in the UE Countries
Słowa kluczowe	starzenie się ludności, wzrost gospodarczy, Unia Europejska, modele panelowe
Key words	demographical ageing, economic growth, European Union, panel models
Abstrakt	Z uwagi na wciąż pogłębiający się proces demograficznego starzenia się ludności i znaczenie skutków tego procesu dla gospodarki, w artykule poddano analizie relację pomiędzy starzeniem się społeczeństwa krajów Unii Europejskiej a wzrostem gospodarczym. Celem podjętych badań była próba określenia wpływu starzenia się społeczeństwa na dynamikę wzrostu gospodarczego w krajach UE 27. Okres badań obejmował lata 1996-2016, dane pochodziły z bazy Eurostatu oraz Banku Światowego. Na potrzeby badań uwzględniono podział na kraje „starej” Unii i „nowej” Unii. Za miarę wzrostu gospodarczego przyjęto tempo wzrostu PKB, natomiast uwzględnionymi miarami starości demograficznej były stopa starości (odsetek osób w wieku 65+ w populacji) oraz współczynnik sędziwej starości (odsetek osób w wieku 80+ w populacji). Wykorzystano modele panelowe. Stwierdzono, że demograficzne starzenie się społeczeństwa ujemnie koreluje z dynamiką wzrostu gospodarczego. W skonstruowanych modelach panelowych dla krajów „starej” Unii współczynniki regresji odpowiadające stopie starości i współczynnikowi sędziwej starości wynosiły odpowiednio: –0,446 oraz –1,521, podczas gdy dla krajów „nowej” Unii były równe: –0,153 (dla stopy starości) oraz –0,980 (dla współczynnika sędziwej starości). Oznacza to, że negatywny wpływ starzenia się ludności na tempo wzrostu PKB jest silniejszy w krajach „starej” Unii w porównaniu z krajami „nowej” Unii.
Abstract	Due to the still growing demographic aging process and the significance of this process on the economy, the article analyzes relationship between the demographic aging of the European Union countries and economic growth. The aim of the research was to determine the impact of demographic aging on the rate of economic growth in the EU27. The research period covered the years 2000-2015. Data from the Eurostat and the World Bank databases were used. The study adopted a division into the “old” and “new” EU Member States. The rate of GDP growth was taken as the measure of economic growth, while the measures of demographic aging included the old-age rate (percentage of population aged 65 or over) and the venerable senility rate (share of the population at the age of 80 or more in the general number of population). Panel models were used. It was found that the demographical aging of society negatively correlates with the dynamics of economic growth. In panel models constructed for countries of the "old" Union, regression coefficients for the old-age rate and the venerable senility rate were respectively: –0,446 and –1,521, while for the "new" EU countries were equal to: –0,153 (for the old-age rate) and –0,980 (for the venerable senility rate). This means that the negative impact of demographic aging on the GDP growth rate is more strongly observed in the countries of the "old" Union in comparison with the countries of the "new" Union.
Cytowanie	Pietrych Ł., Wasilewska E. (2018) Starzenie się społeczeństwa a wzrost gospodarczy w krajach Unii Europejskiej.Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW w Warszawie - Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego, t. 18(33), z. 4: 481-492
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Pełny tekst	PRS_2018_T18(33)_n4_s481.pdf