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Autor	Ewa Krawczyk, Joanna Wrzesińska
Tytuł	Zastosowanie analizy wrażliwości do oceny ryzyka opłacalności budowy i eksploatacji informatycznego katastru nieruchomości
Title	The Use of Sensitiveness Analysis to the Effectiveness’ Risk of Building and Implementation of the Cadastre Communications System
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Abstract	Results of the analysis of building and implementation of the cadastre communications system effectiveness’ risk, quantified by NPV algorithm, clearly justifies introducing two models of assumed costs identified as a risk factor. Indirect methods used for risk measuring, based on the basis scenario of the most possible costs of communications infrastructure confirmed meeting the positive criterion based on NPV algorithm. Both sensitivity ratio model and relative and absolute margin of safety permit large elasticity in the scope of shaping costs of communications infrastructure leaving reserve exceeding 50% increase from values implemented in forecasts. The limit of profitability, quantified by condition of NPV < 0, is raising these costs to the amount of 169 409 351 PLN per year (totally during nine years to the amount of 1 524 684 159 PLN).
Cytowanie	Krawczyk E., Wrzesińska J. (2009) Zastosowanie analizy wrażliwości do oceny ryzyka opłacalności budowy i eksploatacji informatycznego katastru nieruchomości.Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW - Ekonomika i Organizacja Gospodarki Żywnościowej, nr 74: 111-121
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Pełny tekst	EIOGZ_2009_n74_s111.pdf

Autor	Ewa Krawczyk
Tytuł	Miejsce Warszawskiej Giełdy Papierów Wartościowych wśród wybranych giełd Europy Środkowej
Title	Position of Warsaw Stock Exchange among Chosen Stock Exchanges of Central Europe
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Abstract	Warsaw Stock Exchange in the years 2007 was characterized by the highest capitalization among stock exchanges of new member countries of the European Union and it is the middle size stock exchange in Europe. At the end of the year 2007 the index of capitalization of domestic companies to gross domestic product of Poland amounted to 47.3%, what shows at quantitative and qualitative development of Warsaw Stock Exchange and well realized strategy. WSE is characterized by low liquidity ratio in comparison with exchanges of Central and Eastern Europe. At the end of 2007 liquidity ratio of WSE amounted to 44.3%, when in Hungary amounted to 109,8% and in Czech Republic to 76,2%.
Cytowanie	Krawczyk E. (2008) Miejsce Warszawskiej Giełdy Papierów Wartościowych wśród wybranych giełd Europy Środkowej.Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW - Ekonomika i Organizacja Gospodarki Żywnościowej, nr 72: 171-179
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Pełny tekst	EIOGZ_2008_n72_s171.pdf

Autor	Ewa Krawczyk
Tytuł	Zastosowanie strategii zabezpieczającej przed ryzykiem zmiany kursu walutowego w kontraktach futures na Warszawskiej Giełdzie Towarowej
Title	The use of Hedging against Risk of Exchange Rate Changes in Futures Quoted on the Warsaw Commodity Exchange
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Abstract	On the Warsaw Commodity Exchange there are quoted futures on agricultural goods and financial instruments. Futures can be used to hedge against unfavourable changes on the cash market. In the paper the model of hedging use in futures on euro was presented. Two scenarios of hedging use were worked out: pessimistic and optimistic. The analysis showed, that thanks to sale hedging, within both of the scenarios, a negative impact of foreign exchange risk on the financial result of wheat sale on the cash market was minimised. An investor was secured of profit from the transaction at the level of 260,000 zloty
Cytowanie	Krawczyk E. (2007) Zastosowanie strategii zabezpieczającej przed ryzykiem zmiany kursu walutowego w kontraktach futures na Warszawskiej Giełdzie Towarowej.Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW - Ekonomika i Organizacja Gospodarki Żywnościowej, nr 62: 29-39
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Pełny tekst	EIOGZ_2007_n62_s29.pdf

Autor	Ewa Krawczyk
Tytuł	Zastosowanie modelu ryzyka Value at Risk (VaR) opartego na metodzie Monte Carlo do rynku nieruchomości
Title	Using Value at Risk (VaR) Model Based on Monte Carlo Method on Property Market
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Abstract	Value at Risk – the method emerged several years ago that measures potential loss at a given confidence level. The method is undergoing continous improvment, finding new use in financial institutions. Investment briefcase management is inseparably connected with risk mamagement – process succured today with risk models. Presented attempt of enforcing specialized tool for measuring defined risk for separeted risk on property market analysis gives following remarks: 1. In the situation of considerable growth of investition on property market, which is financed mainly from bank infestations, there is need to make out risk models which describes market segment behaviour and let to limit possible loss. The loss caused by overoptimistic predictions and wrong costeffectiveness calculation. 2. Well-known and used at financial market risk models are great tools to connect both segments of market – financial and objective – and for empiric verification including investment projects. 3. VaR model may be used for the needs of defined risk of separeted investment project, which is characterized by indicator of profitability (NP), but obtained results should be treatened with limited confidence
Cytowanie	Krawczyk E. (2006) Zastosowanie modelu ryzyka Value at Risk (VaR) opartego na metodzie Monte Carlo do rynku nieruchomości.Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW - Ekonomika i Organizacja Gospodarki Żywnościowej, nr 58: 117-133
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Pełny tekst	EIOGZ_2006_n58_s117.pdf

Autor	Ewa Krawczyk
Tytuł	Zastosowanie metody kowariancji do określenia ryzyka na rynku nieruchomości komercyjnych
Title	Application of Covariance Method for Risk Assessing on the Commercial Real Estate Market
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Abstract	The Value at Risk model allows answering the base question asked by investor. How much money could be lost with given financial resources involved into given project, in fixed time and fixed risk preference The covariance method used to estimate VaR is static model, but analytic manner of computing allows, after essential analysis, to determine value at risk relatively clearly and quickly. Presented attempt of initiating tool to analyzing quantified risk of investment on real estate market, specialized for capital market, gives observations: a) in the situation of significant growth of investments on real estate market, financed mainly by banking institutions, there is necessity to work out risk models for this market segment, allowing to limit excessive losses caused by too optimistic prices and inappropriate calculations of the effectiveness of the investment, b) well known and used risk models for capital market are basics for connection the both market segments - capital and real - and empirical verification, including investing projects, c) VaR model can be used for determining quantified risk of an investing project, characterized by profitability ratio Net Present Value, but received results should be treated with limited confidence.
Cytowanie	Krawczyk E. (2005) Zastosowanie metody kowariancji do określenia ryzyka na rynku nieruchomości komercyjnych.Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW - Ekonomika i Organizacja Gospodarki Żywnościowej, nr 55: 127-148
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Pełny tekst	EIOGZ_2005_n55_s127.pdf

Autor	Ewa Krawczyk
Tytuł	Rozwój rynku kontraktów terminowych na Giełdzie Papierów Wartościowych w Warszawie
Title	The Development of Future Contracts Market at the Warsaw Stock Exchange in Warsaw
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Abstract	The development of future contracts market can be divided into two stages. The first stage includes the period 1998-1999, when future contracts appeared and strengthen its position at the Warsaw Stock Exchange. The second stage includes the period 2000-2004, when a dynamic development of future contracts occurred. In the first stage quotations of unconditional future contracts futures WIG20, futures USD, futures EURO were started, while in the second stage: futures Tech WIG, futures on shares and futures on MIDWIG. In the analyzed period the contract futures WIG20 was of great importance with the share of 98% in total turnovers on derivatives. The future contracts market is the fastest developing market on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. In 1998, the year of the debut, the value of turnovers of future contracts amounted to 1 % of spot market turnovers. In the next year this relationship amounted to 7%. In the end of 2000 turnovers of future contracts amounted to 17% of spot market turnovers. In the years 2001-2002 the value of turnovers of derivatives amounted to 119% of the value of spot market turnovers. In 2003 the dynamic development of future contracts was continued. Turnovers of future contracts amounted to 158% of spot market turnovers.
Cytowanie	Krawczyk E. (2004) Rozwój rynku kontraktów terminowych na Giełdzie Papierów Wartościowych w Warszawie.Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW - Ekonomika i Organizacja Gospodarki Żywnościowej, nr 54: 101-113
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Pełny tekst	EIOGZ_2004_n54_s101.pdf