Prognoza wyników ekonomicznych gospodarstw mlecznych w 2013 roku
Prospects of Economic situation of dairy farms to 2013
Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW - Ekonomika i Organizacja Gospodarki Żywnościowej, 2009, vol., nr 75, s. 243-254
Projections and analyses for 28 farms members of European Dairy Farmers have been carried out on the basis three scenario differing of milk producer price (most probably, basic and optimistic). Farms were divided on three groups in dependence from milk yield. The projections presented in this publication consists prospects of dairy costs, returns and income. Calculations shows decline of farm income in all farms groups in 2007–2013. In most probably scenario decrease of entrepreneurs profit will has gone since 40–50%. The basic scenario in which milk price in 2007 and 2013 are the same entrepreneurs profit will declined about 25–30%. In the optimistic scenario profit will have the same trend like other scenarios but this decrease will be in limit 7–9%.